Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Ebbsfleet
28.0%
Draw
38.6%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Ebbsfleet
vs
1.39
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).