Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
St Mirren
28.5%
Draw
54.6%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
St Mirren
vs
1.44
Hearts
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).