Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Lyon
23.9%
Draw
15.4%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Lyon
vs
0.63
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
2-0
13.7%
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).