Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Sp Gijon
23.2%
Draw
22.2%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Sp Gijon
vs
1.03
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).