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25 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.3%
Sandefjord
22.7%
Draw
17.0%
Fredrikstad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Sandefjord

vs
0.82

Fredrikstad

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).