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AHT: 03

29 Aug 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.8%
Poltava
15.2%
Draw
75.0%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Poltava

vs
2.67

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.1%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-3
8.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-1
6.9%
0-4
6.0%
1-4
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
0-5
3.2%
0-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).