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AHT: 20CSV

20 Mar 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.0%
Crotone
18.0%
Draw
65.0%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Crotone

vs
2.40

Bologna

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
0-3
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-3
4.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).