Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Real Madrid
13.1%
Draw
6.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Real Madrid
vs
0.63
Leganes
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).