Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Genk
21.3%
Draw
17.5%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Genk
vs
1.03
Dender
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).