Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Cheltenham
21.5%
Draw
13.2%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Cheltenham
vs
0.58
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
2-0
14.7%
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).