Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Troyes
26.7%
Draw
20.0%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Troyes
vs
0.67
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).