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AHT: 01

12 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.3%
Celtic
21.2%
Draw
65.5%
Kettering Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Celtic

vs
1.83

Kettering Town

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).