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09 Mar 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.8%
Asteras Tripolis
25.3%
Draw
15.9%
Panserraikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Asteras Tripolis

vs
0.80

Panserraikos

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).