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18 Apr 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.2%
Galatasaray
20.1%
Draw
3.7%
Bodrumspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Galatasaray

vs
0.36

Bodrumspor

Markets

BTTS28.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
18.8%
1-0
16.5%
3-0
12.9%
0-0
10.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
5-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
0-1
1.5%
2-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).