Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Port Vale
23.7%
Draw
20.0%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Port Vale
vs
0.87
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).