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AHT: 01CSV

22 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Rochdale
28.8%
Draw
47.1%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Rochdale

vs
1.21

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).