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11 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.3%
Zorya Luhansk
23.5%
Draw
25.2%
Kudrivka

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Zorya Luhansk

vs
1.22

Kudrivka

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).