Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.3%
Ebbsfleet
15.7%
Draw
74.0%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Ebbsfleet
vs
2.79
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-1
6.9%
0-1
5.8%
1-4
5.7%
0-4
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
1-5
3.2%
0-5
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).