Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Peterboro
21.7%
Draw
64.5%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Peterboro
vs
2.06
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).