Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Wrexham
24.6%
Draw
36.7%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Wrexham
vs
1.64
Southampton
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).