Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Woking
28.3%
Draw
40.6%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Woking
vs
1.40
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).