Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.3%
Portimonense
14.1%
Draw
79.5%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Portimonense
vs
2.35
Porto
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.1%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
12.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-4
7.4%
1-1
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
1-4
3.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).