Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.8%
Lille
13.8%
Draw
7.4%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Lille
vs
0.59
Dijon
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).