Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Sunderland
23.9%
Draw
24.0%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Sunderland
vs
0.92
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).