Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Brescia
24.0%
Draw
17.2%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Brescia
vs
0.75
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).