Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Nieciecza
28.4%
Draw
42.7%
Legia Warszawa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Nieciecza
vs
1.43
Legia Warszawa
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).