Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Paderborn
30.8%
Draw
29.1%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Paderborn
vs
1.03
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).