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DHT: 21CSV

01 Mar 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Carrarese
27.2%
Draw
44.1%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Carrarese

vs
1.57

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).