Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Elversberg
20.4%
Draw
15.7%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Elversberg
vs
1.09
Dresden
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).