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17 Apr 2021 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.3%
Panetolikos
27.9%
Draw
11.9%
Apollon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Panetolikos

vs
0.52

Apollon

Markets

BTTS32.4%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.0%
2-0
14.9%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
3.8%
4-0
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).