Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Chaves
25.2%
Draw
54.5%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Chaves
vs
1.49
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).