Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Dresden
23.7%
Draw
52.9%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Dresden
vs
1.98
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).