Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Santa Clara
26.8%
Draw
55.4%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Santa Clara
vs
1.60
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).