Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Stoke
31.0%
Draw
16.8%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Stoke
vs
0.61
Wigan
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).