Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Famalicao
33.4%
Draw
49.6%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Famalicao
vs
1.16
Porto
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.581.2%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-0
18.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
12.0%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).