Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Manchester City
24.3%
Draw
21.2%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Manchester City
vs
1.20
Brentford
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
3.9%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).