Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Man United
18.4%
Draw
43.5%
Atherstone Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Man United
vs
2.49
Atherstone Town
Markets
BTTS82.7%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.595.2%
Over 2.586.0%
Over 3.571.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
1-1
4.5%
3-3
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
2-4
3.5%
4-2
3.1%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).