Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Bradford
28.7%
Draw
24.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Bradford
vs
0.74
Exeter
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).