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26 May 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.0%
Levante
21.0%
Draw
10.0%
Alcorcon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Levante

vs
0.52

Alcorcon

Markets

BTTS33.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.7%
2-0
16.0%
3-0
9.7%
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).