Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Tranmere
23.6%
Draw
31.2%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Tranmere
vs
1.29
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).