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10 Jan 2026 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Grimsby
26.1%
Draw
44.4%
Weston-super-Mare

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Grimsby

vs
1.38

Weston-super-Mare

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).