Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Gil Vicente
26.4%
Draw
40.5%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Gil Vicente
vs
1.28
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).