Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.5%
Salernitana
12.5%
Draw
80.0%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Salernitana
vs
2.86
Juventus
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
0-4
7.3%
1-1
5.8%
1-4
5.7%
0-5
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).