Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.5%
Hednesford Town
6.1%
Draw
2.4%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
3.64
Hednesford Town
vs
0.52
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.578.4%
Over 3.559.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.5%
4-0
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
5-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
5-1
4.3%
1-1
2.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).