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DHT: 01CSV

25 Oct 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.8%
Rodez
18.6%
Draw
61.7%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Rodez

vs
2.17

Lorient

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).