Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Setubal
27.5%
Draw
45.1%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Setubal
vs
1.27
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).