Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Sampdoria
30.1%
Draw
44.1%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Sampdoria
vs
1.15
Lecce
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).