Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.9%
Chateauroux
16.8%
Draw
72.3%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Chateauroux
vs
2.15
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
13.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).