Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Magdeburg
21.9%
Draw
28.4%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Magdeburg
vs
1.66
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS72.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).