Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.3%
Elfsborg
19.2%
Draw
73.6%
Mjällby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Elfsborg
vs
2.14
Mjällby
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.6%
0-1
13.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
1-0
2.9%
0-5
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).